終於都放完假返來啦,又開始新的一年,英雄謹在此祝各位新年進步、心想事成、身體健康、股運亨通。
於放假期間有段新聞英雄都幾有興趣,就係淡馬錫於12年中再度更持渣打銀行股權至18%,逼近金管局對發鈔行設定的上限(20%),此一增持亦係其07年內之第七次。其實英雄於一衆傳統銀行股中(不設中資銀行股)一向都看好渣打,除左因為英雄將人生第一次俾左佢之外(開第一個私人戶口),亦因為我覺得佢係近年個定位幾好。就係集中發展新興市場,唔係好似大笨象懶勁咁話要做到三頭車馬(歐、亞、美),您估要征服全世界咩。正所謂高增長的地方當然係於新興市場啦,唔通係美國、德國咩,所以有句說話我覺幾好:『贏了世界又如何』!所以係07年7月時美女同英雄講話想買匯豐,因為息口好同P/E唔高,英雄第一個反應當然係反對啦,第二就係叫佢買渣打。個決定正確與否呢,您地估下。
雖然上述消息英雄覺得幾正面,但睇多段news後英雄有d擔心。段news係話渣打終止出售印度基金管理業務予瑞銀,原因係印度當局唔批准,而渣打正尋找新買家。英雄擔心唔係佢賣唔到個業務,擔心係佢又賣業務。雖然短期而言印度個經濟可能熱左D,但長線我相信印度大把發展空間,無理由賣左呢個仔呀。渣打呢個動作令我聯想返以前渣打賣左香港個財富管理業務俾人,重要限左佢數年唔可以發展呢一個業務,令佢係香港個財富管理業務發展過程中成為輸家。又令我聯想起佢唔起點解將自己個總行賣左俾人,成為一時笑話。英雄真係唔知佢今次又點攪,為咩要賣印度基金管理業務出去,希望佢今次係傑作而唔係杰作啦!
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